Ezinsukwini ezimbili ezedlule, wonke umuntu ukhathazeke kakhulu ngesimo saseRussia nase-Ukraine, futhi kunzima kakhulu kubathengisi be-e-commerce abawela umngcele ukwenza okuhlukile. Ngenxa yochungechunge olude lwebhizinisi, konke ukunyakaza ezwenikazi laseYurophu kungase kube nomthelela omkhulu emalini engenayo yebhizinisi yabathengisi. Ngakho-ke izoletha muphi umthelela ekuhwebeni kwe-e-border?
Ukuhweba nge-e-commerce emngceleni phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine kungase kuphazamiseke ngokuqondile
Ngokombono we-e-commerce ewela imingcele, nokuncintisana kwemakethe okushubile eYurophu, eMelika naseNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia, iMpumalanga Yurophu isiphenduke elinye “lamazwekazi amasha” kubathengisi abaningi baseShayina ukuba baphayone, kanti iRussia ne-Ukraine ziphakathi kwamazwe angaba khona. izitoko:
I-Russia ingesinye sezimakethe ezi-5 ezikhula ngokushesha kakhulu ze-e-commerce emhlabeni. Ngemuva kokugqashuka kwalolu bhubhane ngo-2020, izinga le-e-commerce laseRussia lenyuke ngo-44% laya ku-$33 billion.
Ngokusho kwedatha ye-STATISTA, isikali se-e-commerce eRussia sizofinyelela ku-$ 42.5 billion ngo-2021. Isilinganiso sokuchithwa kwabathengi ekuthengeni okuwela umngcele siphindwe izikhathi ezingu-2 kunalokho kwango-2020 kanye nezikhathi ezi-3 zango-2019, lapho ama-oda avela ku-akhawunti yabathengisi baseShayina. ngo-93%.
I-Ukraine yizwe elinesabelo esiphansi se-e-commerce, kodwa elikhula ngokushesha.
Ngemva kokuqubuka kwalesi sifo, izinga lokungena kwe-e-commerce lase-Ukraine lifinyelele ku-8%, okuwukunyuka kwama-36% unyaka nonyaka ngaphambi kwalolu bhubhane, okubekwe kuqala ngezinga lokukhula kwamazwe aseMpumalanga Yurophu; kusukela ngoJanuwari 2019 kuya ku-August 2021, inani labathengisi be-e-commerce e-Ukraine lenyuke ngo-14%, ngokwesilinganiso Imali engenayo ikhuphuke izikhathi ezingu-1.5, futhi inzuzo iyonke ikhuphuke ngo-69%.
Kepha konke lokhu okungenhla, ngokugqashuka kwempi, ukuhwebelana kwe-e-commerce okuwela umngcele phakathi kweChina-Russia, China-Ukraine, neRussia-Ukraine kuzophazamiseka noma nini, ikakhulukazi ibhizinisi lokuthekelisa labathengisi baseShayina, elibhekene nalo. kungenzeka ukuphazamiseka kwesimo esiphuthumayo.
Abathengisi abenza i-e-commerce ewela imingcele e-Russia nase-Ukraine kufanele banake ngokukhethekile ukuphepha kwezimpahla ezisendleleni kanye nasendaweni yasendaweni, futhi benze izinhlelo zezimo eziphuthumayo zesikhathi esifushane, esimaphakathi nesikhathi eside, futhi baqaphele uchungechunge lwemali. amakhefu abangelwa yizinhlekelele ezingazelelwe.
Ukumiswa kokusebenza kwe-cross-border kanye nokweqa imbobo
Amanani ezimpahla azokhuphuka, ukuminyana kuzokwanda
I-Ukraine ibilokhu iyisango lase-Asia eliya eYurophu iminyaka eminingi. Ngemva kokugqashuka kwempi, ukulawulwa kwethrafikhi, ukuqinisekiswa kwezimoto, nokumiswa kwempahla endaweni yempi kuzonqamula lo mthambo omkhulu wezokuthutha eMpumalanga Yurophu.
Ngokwemibiko yabezindaba yakwamanye amazwe, bangaphezu kuka-700 abathwali bezimpahla ngobuningi emhlabeni wonke abaya emachwebeni aseRussia nase-Ukraine ukuletha izimpahla nyanga zonke. Ukuqubuka kwempi yaseRussia-Ukraine kuzophazamisa ukuhwebelana esifundeni soLwandle Olumnyama, futhi izinkampani zemikhumbi zizoba nezingozi ezinkulu kanye nezindleko eziphezulu zempahla.
Ezokuthutha ngendiza nazo ziye zathinteka kakhulu. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi izindiza zomphakathi noma ezithwala impahla, izindiza eziningi zase-Europe njengeNetherlands, France, neJalimane zimemezele ukumiswa kwezindiza eziya e-Ukraine.
Ezinye izinkampani ze-express, okuhlanganisa ne-UPS e-United States, nazo zilungise imizila yazo yezokuthutha ukuze zigweme ukusebenza kahle kwazo kokusabalalisa ukuthintwa yimpi.
Khona manjalo, amanani ezimpahla ezifana nowoyela ongahluziwe kanye negesi yemvelo alokhu ekhuphuka njalo. Ngaphandle kokuthuthwa ngomkhumbi noma emoyeni, kulinganiselwa ukuthi inani lempahla lizokhuphuka futhi esikhathini esifushane.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, abahwebi bempahla ababona amathuba ebhizinisi beshintsha imizila yabo futhi baphambukise i-LNG ekuqaleni eyayiqondiswe e-Asia iye e-Europe, okungase kubhebhethekise ukuminyana emachwebeni aseYurophu, futhi usuku lokwethulwa kwemikhiqizo yabathengisi be-e-commerce bemingcele ingase inwetshwe futhi.
Kodwa-ke, okuwukuphela kwesiqinisekiso sabathengisi ukuthi umthelela we-China Railway Express akulindelekile ukuthi ube mkhulu kakhulu.
I-Ukraine iwumugqa wegatsha kuphela emgqeni wesitimela waseChina-Europe, futhi umugqa oyinhloko awuthintwa indawo yempi: Izitimela zaseChina-Europe zingena eYurophu ngemizila eminingi. Njengamanje, kunemizila emibili emikhulu: umzila osenyakatho yeYurophu kanye nomzila waseningizimu yeYurophu. I-Ukraine ingenye yemigqa yegatsha yomzila osenyakatho yeYurophu. isizwe.
Futhi isikhathi “se-inthanethi” sase-Ukraine sisesifushane, izitimela zase-Ukraine zisebenza ngendlela evamile njengamanje, kanti izitimela zaseRussia zisebenza ngendlela evamile. Umthelela ekuthuthweni kwesitimela kwabathengisi baseShayina unomkhawulo.
Ukukhuphuka kwamandla emali, amazinga okushintshanisa aguquguqukayo
Izinzuzo zabathengisi zizoncipha kakhulu
Ngaphambilini, umnotho womhlaba wawuvele udonsa kanzima ngaphansi kwengcindezi yokwenyuka kwengcindezi yokwehla kwamandla emali kanye nokuqinisa inqubomgomo yezimali. I-JPMorgan ibikezela ukuthi izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP yonyaka ngonyaka lehle laya ku-0.9% engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka, kanti ukwehla kwamandla emali kuphindeke kabili kuya ku-7.2%.
Ukukhokhwa kwezohwebo kwamanye amazwe kanye nokuguquguquka kwezinga lokushintshisana kuzoletha ubungozi obengeziwe. Izolo, ngokushesha nje lapho kumenyezelwa izindaba zokuhlasela kweRussia e-Ukraine, amanani okushintshaniswa kwezimali ezinkulu ze-Euean ehle ngokushesha:
Izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-euro lehlele ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu eminyakeni engaphezu kwemine, okungenani libe ngu-7.0469.
Iphawundi nalo lehle lisuka ku-8.55 laya cishe ku-8.43.
I-ruble yaseRussia iphule i-7 ngokuqondile ukusuka ku-0.77, bese ibuyela cishe ku-0.72.
Kubathengisi abawela imingcele, ukuqiniswa okuqhubekayo kwezinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB ngokumelene nedola laseMelika kuzothinta ngokuqondile inzuzo yokugcina yabathengisi ngemva kokukhokhwa kwemali yangaphandle, futhi izinzuzo zabathengisi zizoncipha ngokuqhubekayo.
Ngomhla zingama-23 kuNhlolanja, izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB yasogwini uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika ladlula ama-yuan angu-6.32, kanti eliphakeme kakhulu elibikwe lalingu-6.3130 yuan;
Ekuseni ngoFebhuwari 24, i-RMB ngokumelene nedola laseMelika ikhuphuke ngaphezu kuka-6.32 no-6.31, futhi yakhuphuka yaya ku-6.3095 phakathi neseshini, isondela ku-6.3, ukuphakama okusha kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2018. Ibuyele emuva ntambama futhi yavalwa ngo-6.3234 ngo-16: 30;
Ngomhla zingama-24 kuNhlolanja, isilinganiso esimaphakathi se-RMB emakethe yokushintshiselana ngamabhange aphakathi kwaba yidola lase-US ukuya ku-RMB 6.3280 kanye ne-euro engu-1 kuya ku-RMB 7.1514;
Namuhla ekuseni, izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB esogwini uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika liphinde lakhuphuka ngaphezu kuka-6.32 yuan, futhi kusukela ngo-11:00 ekuseni, eliphansi libikwe ku-6.3169.
“Ukulahleka kwemali yangaphandle kube kubi kakhulu. Yize ukuthengiswa kwama-oda bekukuhle ezinyangeni ezimbalwa ezedlule, ikhomishini yenzuzo enkulu ibiphansi kakhulu.”
Ngokusho kwabahlaziyi bezimboni, imakethe yezilinganiso zokushintshanisa ayikaqiniseki kakhulu kulo nyaka. Uma sibheka unyaka wonke ka-2022, njengoba idola laseMelika lijikela phansi futhi izisekelo zomnotho waseShayina ziqinile, kulindeleke ukuthi izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB lifinyelele ku-6.1 engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.
Isimo samazwe ngamazwe siyanyakaza, futhi umgwaqo onqamula umngcele wabathengisi usemude futhi unzima...
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Feb-26-2022