Mumazuva maviri apfuura, munhu wese ari kunyanya kunetseka nezvemamiriro ezvinhu muRussia neUkraine, uye zvakatonyanya kuomera vatengesi vepa-border e-commerce kuti vasaite. Nekuda kwekureba kwebhizinesi cheni, kufamba kwese kuri kuitika mukondinendi yeEurope kunogona kuve nekukanganisa mari yebhizinesi yevatengesi. Saka chii chinozounza kuyambuka-muganho e-commerce?
Kutengeserana kwemuganho e-commerce pakati peRussia neUkraine kunogona kukanganiswa zvakananga
Kubva pamaonero ekuyambuka-muganho e-commerce, nemakwikwi emusika akawedzera muEurope, America neSoutheast Asia, Eastern Europe yave imwe ye "makondinendi matsva" kune vazhinji vatengesi veChinese kupayona, uye Russia neUkraine dziri pakati pevanogona. stocks:
Russia ndeimwe yepamusoro mashanu ari kukurumidza kukura e-commerce misika munyika. Mushure mekubuda kwedenda muna 2020, chiyero cheRussia e-commerce chakakwira ne44% kusvika pamadhora mazana matatu nematatu emadhora.
Zvinoenderana nedata reSTATISTA, chiyero che e-commerce muRussia chinosvika madhora 42.5 bhiriyoni muna 2021. Avhareji yekushandisa kwevatengi pakutenga-mhiri kwemuganho ndeye 2 yakapetwa ka2020 uye 3 nguva iyo ye2019, iyo inoodha kubva kuChinese vatengesi account. kusvika 93%.
Ukraine inyika ine chikamu chakaderera che e-commerce, asi nekukurumidza kukura.
Mushure mekuputika, Ukraine e-commerce yekupinda mwero yakasvika 8%, kuwedzera kwe36% gore-pagore denda risati rasvika, rakamira pekutanga mukukura kwenyika dzeEastern Europe; kubva muna Ndira 2019 kusvika Nyamavhuvhu 2021, nhamba yevatengesi ve-e-commerce muUkraine yakawedzera ne14%, paavhareji Revenue yakakwira ka1.5, uye purofiti yese yakakwira 69%.
Asi zvese zviri pamusoro, nekuputika kwehondo, kutengeserana kwe-e-commerce pakati peChina-Russia, China-Ukraine, neRussia-Ukraine kuchavhiringwa chero nguva, kunyanya bhizinesi rekutengesa kunze kwevatengesi veChinese, rakatarisana. mukana wekukanganiswa kwekukurumidzira.
Vatengesi vanoita zvekuyambuka-muganho e-commerce muRussia neUkraine vanofanirwa kutarisisa kuchengetedzeka kwezvinhu mukufambisa uye munharaunda yenzvimbo, uye kuita zvirongwa zvenguva pfupi, zvepakati uye zvenguva refu, uye chenjerai cheni huru. kuputsika kunokonzerwa nenjodzi dzinongoerekana dzaitika.
Cross-border logistics kumiswa uye port jumping
Mitengo yekutakura ichakwira, kutsvikinyidzana kuchawedzera
Ukraine yanga iri gedhi reAsia kuenda kuEurope kwemakore mazhinji. Mushure mekutanga kwehondo, kudzorwa kwemotokari, kusimbiswa kwemotokari, uye kumiswa kwezvivakwa munzvimbo yehondo kuchagura iyi tsinga huru yekufambisa muEastern Europe.
Maererano nemishumo yezvekune dzimwe nyika, vanopfuura 700 vatakuri vakawanda pasi rose vanoenda kumachiteshi muRussia neUkraine kuendesa zvinhu mwedzi wega wega. Kuputika kwehondo yeRussia-Ukrainian kuchavhiringidza kutengeserana munharaunda yeGungwa Dzvuku, uye makambani ekutakura achatakurawo njodzi dzakakwirira uye mari yakakwirira yekutakura.
Zvifambiso zvendege zvakakanganiswawo zvikuru. Kungave kuri kwendege kana kutakura zvinhu, ndege zhinji dzekuEurope dzakaita seNetherlands, France, neGermany dzakazivisa kumiswa kwendege kuenda kuUkraine.
Mamwe makambani ekutaura, anosanganisira UPS muUnited States, akagadzirisawo nzira dzavo dzekufambisa kuti vadzivise kugona kwavo kugovera kukanganiswa nehondo.
Zvichakadaro, mitengo yezvinhu zvakaita semafuta asina kukora uye gasi iri kuramba ichikwira. Pasinei nekutakura kana kutakura kwemhepo, inofungidzirwa kuti chiyero chekutakura chichakwira zvakare munguva pfupi.
Pamusoro pezvo, vatengesi vezvigadzirwa vanoona mikana yebhizinesi vachichinja nzira dzavo uye kutsausa LNG yaimboenda kuAsia kuenda kuEurope, izvo zvinogona kuwedzera kusangana mumateshi eEurope, uye zuva rekutanga rezvigadzirwa zvevatengesi ve-e-commerce rinogona kuwedzerwa zvakare.
Nekudaro, chisimbiso chega chevatengesi ndechekuti kukanganisa kweChina Railway Express hakutarisirwe kuve kwakanyanya.
Ukraine inongova mutsara webazi pamusoro peChina-Europe chitima mutsetse, uye mutsara mukuru hauna kukanganiswa nehondo: China-Europe zvitima zvinopinda muEurope nemigwagwa yakawanda. Parizvino, kune nzira mbiri huru: nzira yekuchamhembe kweEurope uye nzira yekumaodzanyemba kweEurope. Ukraine ndiyo imwe chete yemitsara yebazi yenzira yekuchamhembe kweEurope. rudzi.
Uye nguva yeUkraine “yepamhepo” ichiri pfupi, njanji dzeUkraine dziri kushanda zvakajairika, uye njanji dzeRussia dziri kushanda zvakajairika. Mhedzisiro pakutakura chitima kwevatengesi veChinese ishoma.
Kukwira kwemitengo, kushanduka kwemitengo
Purofiti yevatengesi inozodzikira
Izvi zvisati zvaitika, hupfumi hwepasi rose hwakanga huchitonetseka pasi pekumanikidzwa kwekukwira kwekukwira kwemitengo uye kuomesa mutemo wezvemari. JPMorgan inofanotaura kuti kukura kwepasi rose kweGDP kwakawira kungosvika 0.9% muhafu yekutanga yegore rino, ukuwo inflation yakawedzera kaviri kusvika 7.2%.
Kugadziriswa kwekutengeserana kune dzimwe nyika uye kuchinja kwehuwandu hwekuchinjana kuchaunzawo dzimwe njodzi. Nezuro, pakangoziviswa nhau dzekurwiswa kweRussia kuUkraine, mitengo yekuchinjana yemari huru yeEuean yakabva yadonha:
Mwero wekutsinhana kweeuro wadonha kusvika padanho rayo rakaderera mumakore anopfuura mana, paine hushoma hwe7.0469.
Iyo pondo yakadonhawo zvakananga kubva pa8.55 kusvika kutenderera 8.43.
Iyo ruble yeRussia yakavhuna 7 zvakananga kubva kutenderedza 0.77, ndokuzodzokera kune yakapoteredza 0.72.
Kune vatengesi vepamuganhu, kusimba kunoramba kuripo kweyero yekutsinhana kweRMB ichipesana nedhora reUS kuchakanganisa purofiti yekupedzisira yevatengesi mushure mekugadzirisa mari yekunze, uye purofiti yevatengesi ichawedzera kudzikira.
Musi waKukadzi 23, mutengo wekutsinhana weRMB yepamhenderekedzo yegungwa uchipesana nedhora rekuUS wakapfuura 6.32 yuan, uye yepamusoro-soro yakashumwa yaive 6.3130 yuan;
Mangwanani eFebruary 24, RMB inopesana nedhora reUnited States yakasimuka pamusoro pe6.32 uye 6.31, uye yakasimuka kusvika ku6.3095 panguva yemusangano, ichiswedera ku6.3, yakakwirira kubva munaEpril 2018. Yakadzokera shure masikati uye yakavhara pa6.3234 pa16: 30;
Musi waFebruary 24, iyo yepakati parity rate yeRMB mumusika weinter-bank exchange exchange yaive 1 US dollar kusvika RMB 6.3280 uye 1 euro kusvika RMB 7.1514;
Mangwanani ano, iyo onshore RMB yekutsinhana inopesana neUS dollar yakakwira zvakare pamusoro pe6.32 yuan, uye kubva 11:00 am, iyo yakaderera yakashumwa pa6.3169.
“Kurasikirwa nemari yekunze kwakakura. Kunyangwe kutengeswa kwemaodha kwaive kwakanaka mumwedzi mishoma yadarika, komisheni yemubhadharo yakatodzikira. "
Sekureva kwevanoongorora maindasitiri, musika wekuchinjana mari hausati wanyatso zivikanwa gore rino. Tichitarisa gore rose ra2022, sezvo dhora reAmerica richitenderedza musoro pasi uye zvakakosha zvehupfumi hweChina zvine simba, zvinotarisirwa kuti RMB yekuchinjana ichakoshesa kusvika 6.1 muhafu yechipiri yegore.
Mamiriro epasi rose ari kusagadzikana, uye nzira yekuyambuka-muganho yevatengesi ichiri kureba uye yakaoma…
Nguva yekutumira: Feb-26-2022