I nā lā ʻelua i hala iho nei, hopohopo nui nā mea a pau e pili ana i ke kūlana ma Rūsia a me Ukraine, a ʻoi aku ka paʻakikī o nā mea kūʻai aku e-commerce ma waena o nā palena ʻē aʻe. Ma muli o ke kaulahao ʻoihana lōʻihi, hiki i kēlā me kēia neʻe ʻana ma ka ʻāina ʻEulopa ke hopena nui i ka loaʻa kālā o nā mea kūʻai aku. No laila he aha ka hopena e lawe mai ai i ka e-commerce cross-border?
Hiki ke hoʻopau pololei ʻia ke kālepa e-commerce ma waena o Rūsia a me Ukraine
Mai ka hiʻohiʻona o ke kālepa e-kālepa, me ka hoʻokūkū hoʻokūkū mākeke ma ʻEulopa, ʻAmelika a me ʻAsia Hikina Hema, ua lilo ʻo ʻEulopa ʻEulopa i kekahi o nā "ʻāina hou" no nā mea kūʻai aku Kina e paionia, a ʻo Rūsia a me Ukraine kekahi o nā mea hiki. waihona:
ʻO Rūsia kekahi o ka 5 kiʻekiʻe e ulu ana i nā mākeke e-commerce ma ka honua. Ma hope o ka puka ʻana o ka maʻi maʻi ma 2020, ua piʻi ka nui o ka e-commerce Lūkini e 44% i $ 33 biliona.
Wahi a ka ʻikepili STATISTA, ʻo ka nui o ka e-commerce ma Rūsia e piʻi i $ 42.5 biliona ma 2021. ʻO ka awelika o ka hoʻolilo ʻana o nā mea kūʻai aku ma ke kūʻai ʻana ma waena o nā palena he 2 mau manawa ma mua o 2020 a me 3 mau manawa o 2019, ʻo ia nā kauoha mai nā mea kūʻai aku Kina. no 93%.
He ʻāina ʻo Ukraine me ka hapa haʻahaʻa o ka e-commerce, akā me ka ulu wikiwiki.
Ma hope o ka laha ʻana, ua hōʻea ka nui o ke komo ʻana o ka e-commerce o Ukraine i ka 8%, kahi hoʻonui o 36% makahiki-ma-makahiki ma mua o ka maʻi maʻi maʻi, ke kūlana mua i ka ulu ulu ʻana o nā ʻāina ʻEulopa Hikina; mai Ianuali 2019 a ʻAukake 2021, ua hoʻonui ʻia ka nui o nā mea kūʻai aku e-commerce ma Ukraine e 14%, ma ka awelika ua piʻi ka loaʻa kālā he 1.5 mau manawa, a piʻi ka waiwai holoʻokoʻa he 69%.
Akā ʻo nā mea a pau i luna, me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ke kaua, e hoʻopau ʻia ke kālepa e-commerce ma waena o Kina-Russia, Kina-Ukraine, a me Russia-Ukraine i kēlā me kēia manawa, ʻoi aku ka ʻoihana kūʻai aku o nā mea kūʻai aku Kina, e kū ana. hiki i ka pilikia pilikia.
ʻO ka poʻe kūʻai aku e hana i ka e-kālepa ma waena o Russia a me Ukraine e uku kūikawā i ka palekana o nā waiwai i ka transit a me nā wahi kūloko, a hana i nā hoʻolālā contingency pōkole, waena a me ka lōʻihi, a e makaʻala i ke kaulahao kapikala. nā haʻihaʻi i hana ʻia e nā pōpilikia hikiwawe.
ʻO ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana o ka logistic cross-border a me ka lele ʻana i ke awa
E piʻi aʻe ka uku ukana, e piʻi aʻe ka paʻakai
ʻO Ukraine ka ʻīpuka o ʻAsia i ʻEulopa no nā makahiki he nui. Ma hope o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ke kaua, ʻo ka hoʻokele kaʻa, ka hōʻoia kaʻa, a me ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana o ka logistic ma ke kahua kaua e ʻoki i kēia aʻa kaʻa nui ma ʻEulopa Hikina.
Wahi a nā hōʻike hoʻolaha haole, ʻoi aku ma mua o 700 mau mea lawe nui a puni ka honua e hele i nā awa ma Rūsia a me Ukraine e hoʻopuka i nā waiwai i kēlā me kēia mahina. ʻO ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ke kaua Lūkini-Ukrainian e hoʻopau i ke kālepa ma ka ʻāina ʻEleʻele, a ʻo nā hui moku hoʻi e halihali i nā pilikia kiʻekiʻe a me nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe.
Ua hoʻopilikia nui ʻia hoʻi ka lawe ʻana i ka ea. Inā he mokulele kīwila a ukana paha, ua hoʻolaha ka nui o nā mokulele ʻEulopa e like me Netherlands, Farani a me Kelemania i ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana o nā mokulele i Ukraine.
ʻO kekahi mau hui hōʻike, ʻo ia hoʻi ʻo UPS ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, ua hoʻoponopono pū i kā lākou mau ala kaʻa ponoʻī e pale aku i kā lākou hoʻolaha pono ʻana i ka hopena o ke kaua.
I ka manawa like, ke piʻi aʻe nei nā kumukūʻai o nā mea kūʻai aku e like me ka aila ʻaila a me ke kinoea maoli. Ma waho aʻe o ka hoʻouna ʻana a i ʻole ka ukana ea, ua manaʻo ʻia e piʻi hou ka uku o ka ukana i kahi manawa pōkole.
Eia kekahi, ʻo ka poʻe kālepa kūʻai i ʻike i nā manawa ʻoihana e hoʻololi i ko lākou ala a hoʻohuli i ka LNG i manaʻo mua ʻia no ʻAsia a i ʻEulopa, e hoʻonui ai i ka paʻa ʻana i nā awa o ʻEulopa, a hiki ke hoʻonui hou ʻia ka lā hoʻomaka o nā mea kūʻai aku e-commerce.
Eia naʻe, ʻo ka hōʻoiaʻiʻo wale nō no nā mea kūʻai aku ʻaʻole i manaʻo nui ʻia ka hopena o ka China Railway Express.
He lālā lālā wale nō ʻo Ukraine ma ka laina kaʻaahi Kina-Europe, a ʻaʻole i hoʻopilikia ʻia ka laina nui e ke kahua kaua: komo nā kaʻaahi Kina-Europe i ʻEulopa me nā ala he nui. I kēia manawa, aia nā ala nui ʻelua: ʻo kahi ala ʻEulopa ʻĀkau a me kahi ala ʻEulopa hema. ʻO Ukraine wale nō kekahi o nā lālā lālā o ke ala ʻEulopa ʻĀkau. lāhui.
A he pōkole ka manawa "online" o Ukraine, ke hana maʻamau nei nā kaʻaahi Ukrainian, a ke hana maʻamau nei nā kaʻaahi Lūkini. ʻO ka hopena i ka halihali kaʻaahi o nā mea kūʻai aku Kina ua palena.
ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻonui kālā, nā kumukūʻai hoʻololi
E emi hou ana ka waiwai o ka poe kuai
Ma mua, ua paʻakikī ka hoʻokele waiwai honua ma lalo o ke kaomi o ka piʻi ʻana o ka piʻi kālā a me ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i nā kulekele kālā. Ua wānana ʻo JPMorgan i ka piʻi ʻana o ka ulu ʻana o ka GDP honua i hāʻule i ka 0.9% wale nō i ka hapa mua o kēia makahiki, ʻoiai ʻoi aku ka nui o ka piʻi ʻana ma mua o 7.2%.
ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ke kālepa haole a me ka loli ʻana o ke kumukūʻai e lawe mai i nā pilikia hou aʻe. I nehinei, i ka wā i hoʻolaha ʻia ai ka lono o ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana o Rusia ma Ukraine, ua hāʻule koke nā kumukūʻai o nā kālā Euean nui:
Ua hāʻule ka uku hoʻololi euro i kona pae haʻahaʻa ma mua o ʻehā mau makahiki, me ka liʻiliʻi o 7.0469.
Ua hāʻule pololei ka paona mai ka 8.55 a i ka 8.43.
Ua haki ka ruble Lūkini i ka 7 mai kahi o 0.77, a laila hoʻi i kahi 0.72.
No nā mea kūʻai aku ma waena o nā palena ʻāina, ʻo ka hoʻoikaika mau ʻana o ke kumukūʻai kūʻai o RMB e kūʻē i ke kālā ʻAmelika e pili pono i ka loaʻa hope o nā mea kūʻai aku ma hope o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana o nā haole, a e emi hou ka waiwai o nā mea kūʻai aku.
Ma ka lā 23 o Pepeluali, ua ʻoi aku ka nui o ke kumukūʻai o ka RMB mauka i ke kālā ʻAmelika ma mua o 6.32 yuan, a ʻo ka mea kiʻekiʻe loa i hōʻike ʻia he 6.3130 yuan;
Ma ke kakahiaka o Pepeluali 24, ua piʻi ka RMB kū'ē i ke kālā US ma luna o 6.32 a me 6.31, a piʻi i 6.3095 i ka wā o ke kau, kokoke i 6.3, kahi kiʻekiʻe hou mai ʻApelila 2018. Ua hāʻule hou i ke ahiahi a pani ʻia ma 6.3234 ma 16: 30;
Ma ka lā 24 o Pepeluali, ʻo ka helu parity waena o RMB ma ka mākeke kūʻai kālā ma waena o ka panakō he 1 US dollar i RMB 6.3280 a me 1 euro i RMB 7.1514;
I kēia kakahiaka, ua piʻi hou ke kumukūʻai RMB kūʻē i ke kālā US ma luna o 6.32 yuan, a ma ka 11:00 am, ʻo ka haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa i hōʻike ʻia ma 6.3169.
“He koʻikoʻi ka poho o ka haole. ʻOiai ua maikaʻi ke kūʻai ʻana i nā kauoha i nā mahina i hala iho nei, ʻoi aku ka haʻahaʻa o ke kōmike waiwai nui.
Wahi a nā mea noiʻi o ka ʻoihana, ʻaʻole maopopo loa ka mākeke hoʻololi i kēia makahiki. Ke nānā nei i ka makahiki holoʻokoʻa o 2022, ʻoiai ke hoʻohuli nei ke kālā US i kona poʻo i lalo a ʻoi aku ka ikaika o nā kumu waiwai o ka hoʻokele waiwai o Kina, manaʻo ʻia e mahalo ʻia ka RMB exchange rate i 6.1 i ka hapa lua o ka makahiki.
He haunaele ke kūlana honua, a he lōʻihi a paʻakikī hoʻi ke ala kūʻai palena no nā mea kūʻai aku…
Ka manawa hoʻouna: Feb-26-2022